Pass the PRMIA PRM Certification 8013 Questions and answers with ExamsMirror

The 'running yield' refers to the coupon rate divided by the current price. In this case, it is 6/96 = 6.25%. Remember that the running yield is also called the current yield.

We need to calculate the total dollar duration of the bond portfolio, which is =100*7.5 - 65*12 + 120*6 = $690m. This means a 10 basis point change in interest rates changes the value of the portfolio by $690m*10bps = $0.69m, or $690,000. Therefore Choice 'b' is the correct answer.

[Here is an alternate step-by-step way of thinking about it. Let us consider changes to each position separately.a. A long position worth $100m in a bond with a modified duration of 7.5A 1% increase reduces the value of the bond by 7.5%. Therefore a 10bps = 0.1% change in interest rates will change the position by 0.75% = $100m*0.75% = $750,000 decrease.b. A short position worth $65m in a bond with a modified duration of 12A 1% increase increases the value of the position by 12% (remember this is a short position). Therefore a 10bps = 0.1% change in interest rates will change the position by 1.2% = $65m*1.2% = $780,000 increase.c. A long position worth $120m in a bond with a modified duration of 6A 1% increase reduces the value of the bond by 6%. Therefore a 10bps = 0.1% change in interest rates will change the position by 0.6% = $120m*0.6% = $720,000 decrease.The net change in the value of the porfolio is therefore:-750,000 + 780,000 - 720,000 = $690,000]

[Here is an alternate step-by-step way of thinking about it. Let us consider changes to each position separately.

a. A long position worth $100m in a bond with a modified duration of 7.5

A 1% increase reduces the value of the bond by 7.5%. Therefore a 10bps = 0.1% change in interest rates will change the position by 0.75% = $100m*0.75% = $750,000 decrease.

b. A short position worth $65m in a bond with a modified duration of 12

A 1% increase increases the value of the position by 12% (remember this is a short position). Therefore a 10bps = 0.1% change in interest rates will change the position by 1.2% = $65m*1.2% = $780,000 increase.

c. A long position worth $120m in a bond with a modified duration of 6

A 1% increase reduces the value of the bond by 6%. Therefore a 10bps = 0.1% change in interest rates will change the position by 0.6% = $120m*0.6% = $720,000 decrease.

The net change in the value of the porfolio is therefore:

-750,000 + 780,000 - 720,000 = $690,000]

If the spot rate is 1.1010 and the forward is 1.1040, the swap rate is 30 "points" (= 1.1040 - 1.1010). The annualized swap premium is the swap premium divided by the spot rate, and therefore =0.0030/1.1010 =0.27%, or 27 basis points.

A forward contract is a derivative contract, and has a delta of 1. Therefore Choice 'd' is the correct answer. This is because the value of a forward contract is given by S - Ke^(-rt), where S is the current spot price, r the risk free rate, K the forward price, and t the time to maturity. As S changes from S to (S + δS), the value changes to (S + δS) - Ke^(-rt), ie the change in value is exactly δS in response to a change in the price of the underlying by δS. Therefore the forward contract has a delta of 1.

All other choices are incorrect.

Note that this is different from the delta of a futures contract which is different from 1, and equal to e^(rt), a number greater than 1.

According to the dividend discount model, the spot share prices represent the present value of all the future cash flows from the stock. If held till perpetuity, this becomes an annuity equal to the dividend, growing at its expected growth rate. Therefore Choice 'a' is the correct answer. Choice 'c' would represent the total market cap, and not the value per share that the question asks.

Security A 'dominates' security B, ie it offers the most return per unit of volatility. However, because it is less volatile, its returns are likely to be more concentrated around its mean compared to Security B which will have 'fatter tails' compared to Security A. Therefore Security B will offer a much better chance of making the desired 25% return. Of course, this also means that Security B is much more likely to lose a lot more money than Security A. However, if the portfolio manager is only interested in maximizing his chances of making a 25% or greater return, he should select Security B. The answer can be verified using Excel's Normdist formula, and probability of exceeding 25% will be given by [=1-NORMDIST(0.25,0.1,0.1,TRUE)] for Security A and =1-NORMDIST(0.25,0.1,0.2,TRUE)] for Security B. A combined portfolio of the two will have a return of 10% and variance less than that of Security B (or at the most equal to the weighted average of the two variances, even if their correlation is 1), which means a combined portfolio will also have a lower probability of exceeding a 25% return.

This question reflects how portfolio managers may be tempted to make sub-optimum decisions for their investors by swinging for the fences by taking large bets, for example, when they have had a big drawdown and have to make it up to the high water mark levels before they earn performance fees.

The investor would benefit from the risk reversal and the bull spread as both these strategies have a payoff profile that benefit from rising prices of the underlying. The collar is the opposite of risk reversal, and benefits during a bear market, and the butterfly spread benefits when prices remain range bound. Therefore Choice 'c' is the correct answer.

The square root of time rule can be used to convert, say a 1-day volatility to a 10-day volatility, by multiplying the known volatility number by the square root of time to get the volatility over a different time horizon. However, there are key assumptions that underlie the application of this rule, and statements I to III correctly state those assumptions. If serial correlations (whether negative or positive) exist, then asset returns are not independent as they are affected by the prior day or prior period's returns, and we cannot use the square root of time rule. Therefore Choice 'd' is the correct answer.

In order to use the 'square root of time' rule, asset returns should be iid, volatility should stay constant (ie there should be no volatility clustering), and no serial correlations (ie the returns of one day should not be affected by the returns of the prior periods). Choice 'd' is the correct answer.

When the forward prices are greater than the spot prices, the market is said to be in contango. When forward prices are lower than spot prices, the market is said to be backwarded. A short squeeze may contribute to backwardation. Choice 'a' is the correct answer.

The coupon payments can be considered an annuity which can be valued using the formula for the PV of annuities= annuity . Therefore the value of the five coupon payments is 5 * ((1-1/(1.06^5))/0.06) = $21.06

Similarly the principal payment at the end of 5 years can be valued as 100/1.065 = $74.73

Therefore the total value of the bond today is $95.79